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Regardless of a 35% fall, bitcoin stays the highest performing main asset over the previous 5 years

In the event you observe the crypto market, you’ve in all probability heard that cryptocurrency costs fell via the ground over lately. In October and November, Bitcoin (BTC) crashed from a peak of about $124,000 to a trough of about $80,000 (all figures in US greenback until in any other case specified). That’s a worrying fall of about 35% in a matter of weeks, pushed to an ideal extent by decrease expectations of additional charge cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve (The Fed).

Nonetheless, BTC has recovered barely and is buying and selling at about $87,000 on the time of scripting this column. Earlier than we start to pronounce the dying of BTC and different cryptocurrencies, it might assist to place issues into perspective by taking a look at BTC’s efficiency as an asset over the previous 5 years—particularly as compared with different common property.

The crypto crash in perspective

Because the chart under reveals, Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a cyclical bull market since November 2022, when it began rising off a low of about $16,400. Calculated at its latest excessive of about $124,000, that’s a acquire of about 646% from trough to peak in virtually three years—from November 2022 to October 2025.

Supply: Google Finance as of Nov. 26, 2025

Nevertheless, virtually no one is fortunate sufficient to purchase on the trough and promote on the peak. So, let’s take a look at BTC’s return for varied intervals over the previous 5 years:

Time interval BTC absolute return (%) Annualized return / CAGR
6 months -21% Not relevant
Yr so far -7% Not relevant
1 12 months -8% -8%
3 12 months 427% 62.23%
5 12 months 389% 37.34%

Supply: Information gathered from Google Finance as of Nov. 26, 2025

Because the desk above reveals, BTC hasn’t carried out badly at everywhere in the previous three to 5 years, so long as you’ve held it via the same old ups and downs. In the event you’d requested an investor 5 years in the past, in November 2022, in the event that they’d be pleased with a compounded annualized return of over 35% on their funding, most would have gladly taken it.

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How does BTC’s return examine to shares, gold and silver?

Whereas BTC’s return appears to be like good within the desk above, how has it carried out compared to different common funding property?

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BTC Gold (GLD) Silver (SLV) S&P 500 (.INX) Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) S&P/TSX Composite (OSPTX)
5 12 months return 389% 126% 121% 86% 88% 77%
5 12 months CAGR 37.34% 17.11% 17.26% 13.21% 13.22% 12.18%

Supply: Google Finance as of Nov. 26, 2025

As is obvious from the desk above, regardless of BTC’s sharp and dramatic fall over the previous six weeks, BTC stays the highest performing asset from amongst these common with buyers. It’s even overwhelmed the newsy and come-from-behind success story of 2025: silver.

On a easy 5-year proportion chart, right here’s what the comparative efficiency of those property appears to be like like. BTC is the blue line on the high and the others are bunched collectively under.

Supply: Google Finance as of Nov. 26,2025

Will BTC’s latest fall proceed or are we already off the lows? There’s no technique to inform for positive; nonetheless, if what now we have proper now could be a cyclical bear market (versus 35% correction inside a bull market), I’d count on BTC to check its earlier excessive of about $60,000 to $70,000 from 2021. This may be in keeping with BTC’s worth efficiency in earlier bear markets.

Is BTC’s latest fall uncommon and worrying?

BTC could also be a pacesetter amongst varied asset lessons over the previous 5 years, however is the October-November crash uncommon in its 15-year historical past? Because the desk under reveals, no it’s not.

Crashes of 30% or extra from its peak are par for the course. In truth, as you’ll see within the desk under, BTC has fallen 30% or extra from all time highs eighteen occasions since 2010. This demonstrates that BTC has all the time bounced again to scale new all-time highs.

How lengthy has it taken to scale new highs from these intermittent crashes? Between 8 to 1181 days! The vary is broad and is dependent upon whether or not we’ve seen the lows for this market cycle or not.

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